Breaking up Anglo

I’ve started re-examining the documents released by the Department of Finance in advance of the banking inquiry (remember that?). There are lots of interesting bits, and I will return to many of them. But here is one and it relates to the current events around breaking up Anglo – and the ideas of selling off deposit books mooted some time ago by some economists.

In September 2008, the Government was considering selling the deposit book of Irish Nationwide. Direct link here. In that month, there were four options listed:

1. Do nothing.
2. Ensure an orderly run-off of INBS
3. Break-up of INBS
4. Merge INBS with another institution.

None of these appear to have been acted on, but instead the entire building society, deposits and creditors, was guaranteed.

Merrill Lynch clearly advised that only senior creditors and depositors might be guaranteed, but this action would have clear dangers for sovereign credit ratings. Here is the passage.

Here is part one of the released DoF documents. I’ve marked each document using DocumentCloud. I hope to move away from using Scribd. To view the notes on the document you have to expand it to full screen using the button on the bottom left, or click the notes tab on the top.



Digest – September 13 2010

Wore a long coat for the first time this week. Winter is here, guys, are we all contented?

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Stephen Kinsella reminds us that the ‘nobody saw it coming’ meme is utterly wrong. Brendan Keenan doesn’t come out of this one too well; “we know what the Irish banks bad loans are, they’re going to be about one percent of their loan books…” Ouch. See video, there’s more.

Peter Stafford vents about the wheels on the bus.

Come Here to Me! is trying to trace details about the owner of a union card from 1918. Interesting post, that.

Michael O’Dotherty in bad journalism shocker. That man is an eejit of the lowest order. Scarlet for’em!

The Cold War, Operation Gladio and Ireland. Some little known history from one of the Cedars.

WORLD Continue reading “Digest – September 13 2010”

FAS Ashfield audit report

More from our FAS file. This is the audit report that was carried out in relation to Ashfield Computer Training (ACT). The company received € 30,264.00 via the FAS CDP scheme in 2006, €464,044.00 in 2007 and €443,361.57 in 2008, a total of €937,669.57. We don’t yet have figures for 2009. FAS director general Paul O’Toole has said that money could not be recovered from Ashfield Computer Training, because the company was liquidated earlier this year.

Critically, the report states, among other things:

no explanation was provided by ACT as to why the date created for the NEWSLETTER document in the Word Processing 2 module was 28 August 2007; two months after the course finished.

In the case of the NEWSLETTER document produced in the Word assessment there were 6 candidates whose documents were identical and contained a series of errors that suggest the document was copied. In the Integrated Applications the consistent use of the same incorrect pie-chart also suggested that the assessment material had been manipulated.

There was material missing from both the printed assessment material and from disk. In the view of Internal Audit, ACT were unable to provide a reasonable explanation as to how learner’s had passed these assessments in the absence of such essential material.

…it is the view of internal Audit that efforts were made on the part of the tutor to ensure that learners, who had not achieved a sufficient level in some assessments, were assisted in achieving a pass level after the assessment was completed.


Banks QE themselves

It seems we have something of an answer as to how Irish banks expect to get through the €30bn funding cliff this month. In the Irish Times today:

IRISH NATIONWIDE has issued €4 billion of Government-guaranteed bonds effectively to itself. It can use the bonds to draw €4 billion in funding from the European Central to help tide it over a key refinancing period later this month.

The building society has €4 billion of debt covered under the original blanket Government guarantee maturing at the end of this month. The bonds will allow the building society to draw fresh funding from the ECB if necessary to repay this debt against a backdrop of heightened funding pressures across the guaranteed institutions.

So what does that mean? Irish Nationwide is issuing bonds (these ones) and then using the bonds as collateral to borrow from the ECB marginal lending facility (MLF), also known as the discount window.

This is not dissimilar from the practice we learned of last week where nationalised bank, Anglo Irish, is using promissory notes issued by the Government as part of recapitalisation (ostensibly long term), as collateral with our own Central Bank in order to fund itself (they dare not go to the ECB?), at a rate of 1:1. This appears to have gone relatively unnoticed, and is buried in Anglo’s interim report, referred to as the Special Master Repurchase Agreement, which comes on top of the Master Loan Repurchase Agreement.

Expect to see other Irish bank create fictitious money in order to fund themselves via the discount window.

It also seems that this type of transaction is nothing new. Back before the September 2008 crisis, it seems that Lehman Brothers were doing something similar. Per the FT back in April 2008:

It was rather elliptically suggested by Bloomberg (from a Morgan Stanley analysis) that Freedom’s notes had been used as collateral by Lehman in the Fed’s primary dealer credit facility. And that that was – in the main – the reason the CLO had been created and successfully closed.

But there’s some confusion. In this article, Bloomberg say Lehman sold the $2.2bn of senior notes in Freedom “in a private placement”, which can’t be true if they’re being used in repos with the Fed by Lehman. As for the equity tranche, it’s unrated, so the NY Fed won’t accept it as collateral.

The WSJ reports that only some of the senior notes may actually have been pledged to the Fed. The small amount was supposed to “test” what the Fed would accept.

Since the test seems to have gone well, can other banks be expected to jump on the CLO bandwagon? JP Morgan is understood to be doing just that – with rumours of senior notes of a recently closed CLO being pledged in the PCDF.
But even if Freedom, and other CLOs, were created with the express intent of pledging notes to get liquid collateral through the PCDF, so what?

And it wasn’t only in the US this was happening. In the UK these are referred to as ‘phantom securities’:

In the depths of the financial crisis, the Old Lady began expanding the bank collateral eligible for use at its various liquidity operations, and starting new ones up. Unsurprisingly, given market conditions at the time, banks flocked to make use of the facilities. In fact, they began creating things specifically for use at the BoE, which the Bank gave the attention-grabbing title of ‘phantom securities.’

Some day, we will eventually we will have to confront reality, and stop this merry-go-round of fiction.

Digest – August 6 2010

Late but like, wahevz. As my 16 year old cousin may say.

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Markham Nolan is blogging his way through east Africa while on a Simon Cumbers Fund media funded. Would make a lovely short-term column, I say.

Monopoly houses set to float down the Liffey, Dublin Observer reports.

Ciaran Cuffe advocates property tax in blog musing, according to the Sunday Tribune, then deletes the post. It’s still in the Google Cache though, his exact words were…

A huge challenge over the coming months is how we close the gap between the State’s income and expenditure. Either way it looks as though we have to narrow the budget gap by another three billion euro next year. An additional increase in income tax on working families would be hugely challenging, and perhaps we should instead be considering some kind of domestic charge, as we had prior to the ‘give-away’ budget of 1977.

There’s no easy way to fill the gap, but an alternative to a hike in income tax rates on middle income earners would be to take the radical step of abolishing (or dramatically reducing) stamp duty on homes and introduce an annual levy based on the size of the house. Maybe large homes could pay €600 a year, medium sized home €400 and smaller home €200. How would you define this? A home over 200 sq.m might be at the larger end of things, and under 100 sq. m could be in the smaller category. It all could be done by self-assessment. If home-owners couldn’t pay, then the levy could remain as a charge on the home when it eventually changed hands.

I’d say such a charge could raise the guts of several hundred million, and would be more equitable than a rise in income tax. The beauty of such a scheme is that it could be implemented quickly without a cumbersome State led assessment of each property. Another advantage would be that it would allow people to move home when they wish without an excessive tax burden.

Story from last week; ‘Nama to decide on future of funding for Anglo building‘.

Anglo HQ, Docklands

Alternative headline, ‘Nama to decide on completion of half-built office block owned by tax-payer in centre of mass of empty office blocks’. Leave it as it is and turn it into a museum. Primary school classes can take tours around it as guides explain in hushed tones about the extinct species of property agents and Celtic Tigers. ‘A monument to folly’, as Gav christened it as we walked past it one night.

McGarr on regulators.

Stephen Kinsella on the transformation of private debt into public debt.

Gormley, incinerators and the constitution. PucktownLane has an interesting take.

Karl Whelan; Anglo’s plan to save sub-ordinated debt holders.

WORLD Continue reading “Digest – August 6 2010”

FAS funds and SIPTU/ICTU

On the subject of:

THE TÁNAISTE Mary Coughlan yesterday sought to play down a controversy with the European Commission that has brought a halt to the claiming of tens of millions of euro in European Social Fund payments.

Her department confirmed that a claim for €57 million spent by Fás on training and which was to be repaid by Europe, was withdrawn because of issues raised by European audits.

A prominent trade unionist has criticised a call for FAS to be shut down:

The Labour Party’s spokesman on education, the former minister for labour Ruairí Quinn, has called for Fás to be “shut down” as a result of this latest blow to its credibility. He said some of its budget should be transferred to educational institutions such as institutes of technology.

This sparked an angry trade union reaction from Siptu and Ictu president Jack O’Connor who is also a long-time member of the Labour Party’s national executive.“Ruairí Quinn was undoubtedly the best minister for finance in my lifetime but he is totally and completely wrong in his call for closing down Fás,” Mr O’Connor said.

Total amount SIPTU College received via the FAS Competency Development Programme (CDP) (2003 to 2008 inclusive): €2,068,571.6

Total amount ICTU received via the FAS Competency Development Programme (CDP) (2003 to 2008 inclusive): €2,460,274.73

Total for SIPTU and ICTU: €4,528,846.33

SIPTU and ICTU were two of the top 10 recipients of FAS CDP money from 2003 to 2008.

I think maybe Mr O’Connor should have mentioned these figures.

HSE briefing papers Sep 09 to Jun 10

Some time ago I sought all briefing papers used by HSE staff for appearances before Oireachtas committees between September 1, 2009 and June 14, 2010, inclusive.

Here are seven sets of them: