The existential crisis for the Euro

I’m sick of posting links, but anyway, too busy with other things, more from Der Speigel.

The Last Opportunity for a Strong Currency – Henrik Muller

Level-headed analysis, this time, rather than explanatory journalism. On the single European currency;

The euro is a paradox: a political project that has long lacked political support. Is it really a surprise to anyone that the feeling of togetherness and solidarity amongst Europeans has remained weak? Without a binding emotional basis, it is hardly conceivable that the euro will hold together in the long run.

Good piece, I like how it goes through the history of the how the currency came to exist. My own preference would be for a considered demolition (I refuse to say “orderly wind down”) over ceding more budgetary power to Brussels.

Thing is; the same opinion is likely held by most Europeans and that’s a major part of why we’re in this mess now (I also refuse to say “why we are where we are”).

TIME on NAMA

TIME magazine has a short piece on NAMA in the latest edition. The anti-NAMA quotes are from McWilliams (who has been stunning over the last few months – Morgan Kelly-esque – but might be overdoing on the media appearances as of late! The dude is everywhere…)

It will potentially become the country’s largest landowner, with a portfolio including many of Ireland’s hotels and a number of notable landmark buildings. The toxic bank option is one that several nations considered at the start of global financial crisis — and then dismissed as a bad idea. In Ireland, the risk that the experimental scheme could wreak even more havoc on the country’s frail economy has many worried. “NAMA will bankrupt Ireland,” says economist and commentator David McWilliams. “It is forcing us to borrow from tomorrow to pay for yesterday and, in the process, destroy the opportunities of today.”

Government view from department of finance press officer, Eoin Dorgan…

“The difference between Ireland and elsewhere is that what we had here was essentially an old-fashioned property bubble,” says Eoin Dorgan, communications officer at Ireland’s Department of Finance. “So, while debts in the U.K. and U.S. were based on complicated financial instruments that were very difficult to value, we could just base our valuation on the collateral, which was the land.” So, the government decided that if Ireland was to avoid the chaos that Greece and other teetering euro-zone economies face now, it needed to do something radical. “It made sense for us to do something direct and up-front by creating a ‘bad bank’ to bring certainty to the market,” says Dorgan.

Ah yes, certainty.

"The eurozone apparently did not even discuss the situation in Ireland, which seems increasingly troubling"

Early in the week is always crazy busy for me, hence posts of substance tend not to appear under this byline ever between Sunday and Wednesday.

I do get a lot of reading done, and talk to many smart people in that time period however – compared to the rest of the week when I sit at a desk beside some strange dude who keeps rocking in his chair and repeating “t-t-transparency, c-c-c-corruption, t-t-transparency, c-c-corruption…” ad nauseum – usually resulting in short quick posts centred on links to interesting articles elsewhere.

In that vein… Simon Johnson and Peter Boone on the Eurozone. They’re worried that people have stopped talking about Ireland.

Note…

It could be that in two years time Europe’s deficits are much lower, the ECB has hardly bought any bonds, and they have successfully managed a Greek debt restructuring while Spain is out of trouble, and Portugal and Ireland are scraping by in limbo but now isolated problems.

Oh dear.

More CAP stats

I’ve taken all 137k (€1.9bn) of CAP payments from 2009 and placed them into a pivot table. (Data thanks to farmsubsidy.org) Here are the stats:

I’ve added in both county population counts and county size by square kilometre. Here is a graphic of county distribution:

Would anyone like to run analyses of per head distribution, or maybe per sq kilometre distribution?

Update: Reader Anne has come back with the requested analysis! Cheers Anne!

Seamus Coffey on CAP payments

Interesting post from Seamus Coffey on the Irish CAP figures (published top 100 here recently).

Natural curiosity brought me to examine the figures from my home parish.

Here I saw that there were 150 recipients in the parish who received an average payout of €12,142, slightly below the national average.  The total monies received by residents of the parish under the scheme was €1,821,339.  It’s like the parish wins a lotto jackpot every year – guaranteed!

According to the 2006 Census data there were 26 males and 5 females with recorded occupations of ‘Farming, Fishing and Forestry Managers’ in the Cappamore DED.  There were also three males and one female recorded as ‘Other Agricultural Workers’.  This would suggest there is a maximum of 35 people employed as farmers in the Cappamore DED.  The parish of Cappamore had 150 recipients (131 males and 19 females) under the CAP scheme.

A blog worth reading, that’un.

Digest – May 10 2010

InDigestion, see below.

– HOME

This story is nuts (“Anglo boss ‘was told to keep quiet'” – Sunday Times). I think the people have shell-shock from the constant stream of similar stories coming out of Anglo and the Department of Finance. “Oh, that again? Heh. Yeah.”

Irish Times business podcast feature on public sector reform in Minnesota is interesting.

May 5th; Singing the sash, May 7th; singing the blues, from Slugger.

Abigail Rieley on the moment the jury returned the verdict in the trial of David Curran and Sean Keogh for the murder of two Polish men. Touching.

Dierdre O’Shaughnessy of the Cork Independent writes from Port Au Prince.

The most mundane aspects of life are here: women wash clothes in small basins of water distributed from tankers; they cook whatever food they have outside their tents at small camp fires; they hang clothing to dry on their tarps.

Cracker of an opinion piece from Patrick Freyne on the back page of the Sunday Tribune.

Yet, apart from a public sector march here or there, a once-off kerfuffle over medical cards for pensioners, and four million late night pub-rants, the Irish public have been very, very compliant. In Iceland, the populace responded to their economic clusterf*ck by descending on their houses of parliament banging pots and pans. In America, right-wing groups protest against their own healthcare interests with a network of gun-toting “Tea-Parties”. Here the public sector demonstrated their anger at pay-cuts by refusing to answer a few phones while the rest of us express our rage at a huge bank-bailout and the failure of our institutions by working harder (take that, banks!).

Faced with the same problems as Greece (and we have some of the same problems) I think we actually would resort to a campaign of dirty looks. We expect our politicians to guess how we feel, like the passive aggressive spouse in a sitcom called That’s Ireland! (“What do you want now, honey?” asks the Dáil shrugging its shoulders. “Is it a medical card? Is it a new road? I just can’t tell!” Cue laughter from the studio audience in the bond markets).

Feature on prostitution in Ireland by Conor Lally in The Irish Times.

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